Senior Secretary of the National Food Agency, Sarwo Edhy, said food balance projections for all 11 commodities are secure and import sources for key items do not originate from conflict-affected regions. He affirmed that, based on current assessments, Indonesia has not experienced any direct impact from the ongoing geopolitical tensions on its food sector.

“Regarding the impact of the conflict on food, from our perspective within the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Food Agency, we have not yet felt any effects. This is because, for the 11 essential food commodities, both the balance and availability remain more than sufficient,” Sarwo said as quoted from National Food Agency's press release on Wednesday, April 29, 2026.

In addition, he added that projections through June indicate a continued surplus across all key commodities, including those supplemented by imports. Import sources such as the United States for soybeans, India for buffalo meat, Australia for beef, and China for garlic ensure that supply chains do not pass through the Hormuz chokepoint.

“Looking at the balance up to June, it remains strongly in surplus, so there is no shortage. For imported items, soybeans come from the United States, buffalo meat from India, beef from Australia, and garlic from China. These do not pass through the Strait of Hormuz, so the impact is minimal. Thankfully, from a food perspective, it is not significantly affected,” he conveyed.

Domestic food stability is also reflected in the Food Price Development Index (IPH) released weekly by Statistics Indonesia. Data shows a decline in the number of provinces and districts experiencing price increases throughout April 2026.

Deputy for Distribution and Services Statistics at BPS, Ateng Hartono, noted that only 13 provinces recorded price increases in the fourth week of April, down from 15 in the previous week. The number of affected districts also declined to 126, continuing a downward trend from earlier weeks.

“Up to the fourth week of April 2026, 13 provinces experienced increases in the IPH. This is a decrease compared to the third week, which recorded 15 provinces. Similarly, 126 districts saw increases, down from 137 in the previous week,” Ateng said.

Despite the stable outlook, the government continues to take preventive measures to maintain price and supply stability. Strengthening domestic production remains a priority, particularly as Indonesia advances toward food self-sufficiency.

Head of National Food Agency, Andi Amran Sulaiman, affirmed that Indonesia has effectively achieved food self-sufficiency, with imports accounting for only around 5 percent of total consumption—well below the 10 percent threshold commonly referenced by the Food and Agriculture Organization.

“What is food self-sufficiency? Out of the 11 commodities, imports are about 3.5 million tons, while total production reaches 73 million tons. That means imports account for roughly 4.8 percent of production, or just over 5 percent of total consumption. Based on the FAO consensus, self-sufficiency allows up to 10 percent imports, and we are at only around 5 percent,” Minister Amran said.

Overall, Indonesia’s strong domestic production—reaching approximately 73.7 million tons annually for key staples—continues to underpin national food resilience. This stability is further reflected in the Farmers’ Terms of Trade (NTP), which has remained above 120 since mid-2024, signaling sustained strength in the agricultural sector.