Finance Minister Ensures 2026 State Budget Remains Secure Amid Global Pressures

RRI.CO.ID, Jakarta - Finance Minister, Purbaya, emphasized that the structure of the State Revenue and Expenditure Budget (APBN) for 2026 remains safe and solid, despite global economic headwinds and the potential rise in global oil prices. He conveyed this during a working meeting with Commission XI of the Indonesian House of Representatives in Jakarta on Monday, 6 April 2026.

In his presentation, the Minister of Finance stated that the government has conducted thorough fiscal simulations to anticipate economic dynamics. The result is that, even though world crude oil prices are assumed to reach 100 US dollars per barrel, the budget deficit is ensured to remain below the safe limit of three percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

"We have calculated the assumption of world oil prices at an average of 100 dollars throughout 2026, and with certain measures, the budget can still be kept at 2.92 percent of GDP. So, throughout this year, with an average price of 100, it is safe." Purbaya stated.

The Minister of Finance also firmly dismissed various speculations and negative issues regarding the state cash condition, which was said to be insufficient to finance subsidies. He assured that the government has robust risk management and an ample fiscal buffer in the form of the Budget Surplus Balance (SAL) to maintain the purchasing power of the people.

The Budget Surplus of 420 trillion rupiah serves as a buffer if needed in case oil prices rise very high or become uncontrollable. So from there, we are still safe. We are ready with the assumption of a hundred-dollar price, and we are prepared not to raise subsidized fuel prices until the end of the year," he said.

Data from the Ministry of Finance shows that the performance of the state budget (APBN) in the first quarter of 2026 remains strong, with state revenue reaching 574.9 trillion rupiah. Meanwhile, state expenditure was realized at 815 trillion rupiah, growing by 31.4 percent, driven by accelerated budget absorption since the beginning of the year.

Through the synchronized collaboration of fiscal and monetary policies, the government is optimistic that national economic stability will be maintained. Purbaya emphasized that these multi-layered fiscal safeguards are prepared to ensure Indonesia can withstand global economic fluctuations without compromising the welfare of the broader community.